You don’t want to control epidemics, you want to eradicate them. In the United States, it will be difficult even to control COVID. We have been left with a poisoned well, where a large part of the public does not believe that the centuries-old weapons to destroy epidemics: track and trace, isolate and vaccinate, matter […]
With Mother Nature, if you don’t deal with reality, it will deal with you. To work effectively you need data: useful, verifiable numbers. How is America doing? Let’s take a look at the pandemic. In the last ten days, the first vaccine out of the box, the touted Oxford Jenner Astra Zeneca adenovirus vaccine, has […]
Do you want to prevent future pandemics?
Move Fast Nations that moved quickly to contain Covid-19, even when their societal protections were “weak,” had one eighth (https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-swift-covid-19-lockdowns-more-effective/?srnd=premium&sref=lWBkwdXC) the number of deaths of countries compared to those who moved slowly. That includes Japan, whose model of rolling partial lockdowns, social distancing plus infrequent testing has been scorned by the nation and may lead to […]
Could you be a superspreader of Covid-19? Chances are good you will not know. Many spreaders are asymptomatic. But more and more research demonstrates a minority of those afflicted – 10-20% of the total – infect 80% of total cases. The result is a low kappa – the degree of “skew” in the epidemic’s data. […]